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Longevity Debate....ahem, discussionFollow

#1 Dec 22 2010 at 4:39 PM Rating: Decent
5 posts
So, I am curious about this. I was reading another thread about people quitting WoW for RIFT and someone was saying WoW was going to die soon (as everyone says about every MMO that lasts any length of time...), and this question came to mind:

What MMO do you think will be the survivor of time, and what about the MMO (specifically) makes you think this?



Edited, Dec 22nd 2010 5:40pm by Caradavi

Edited, Dec 22nd 2010 5:41pm by Caradavi
#2 Dec 22 2010 at 4:51 PM Rating: Decent
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30 posts
i think rift will last for atleast 5 years cuz its TRION WORLDS first mmorpg and they are working hard on it , and most of the devs there i know have alot of MMORPG Exp.
#3 Dec 22 2010 at 4:55 PM Rating: Decent
10 posts
Considering the fact there are several million mmo players in the world...betting on
anything is just as hazardous. Might as well say Hello Kitty online will survive em all eh?

The really exciting part for me about rift is the class mixing, i just hope they have a good way to
balance it :D No i'm not in beta...YET!
#4 Dec 22 2010 at 5:19 PM Rating: Decent
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200 posts
All MMO's have some audience somewhere.

WoW will never die. 11 million players will not all shift to Rift. A few might but not nearly enough to make WoW not be profitable for Blizzard.

I think Rift will last a few years. If the beta's are any sign of how the game will play out in the long run I believe it has a lot going it's way.

EDIT: To actually answer the question....

I think WoW will last as long as Blizzard is around which will probably be a long time. Even Nethack a pre WWW game still has fans so as long as somebody is funding the game it will survive. So I think the answer is that they will all survive until the developers themselves get sick of them or lose funding. This is predictable for some unpredictable for others.

Edited, Dec 22nd 2010 6:21pm by Danex317
#5 Dec 22 2010 at 6:15 PM Rating: Decent
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28 posts
I think Rift can last a very long time. MMOs do not need a HUGE sub base to last. WOW is one of the extremes that rarely happen. If Rift can hold 500k for 6+ months it will be around for 5+ years IMO.

#6 Dec 22 2010 at 6:35 PM Rating: Decent
32 posts
arent there people that still play EQ? haha.

WoW isn't going away any time soon. Nor will any other MMO still a majority of it's subscribers any time soon. However, I expect this year and next to errode it's playerbase a decent amount.

I fully expect Rift, SWTOR, WoW, and GW2 to all keep trucking for many many many years to come.
#7 Dec 22 2010 at 6:54 PM Rating: Decent
35 posts
I'm really expecting a lot from GW2 and Star Wars TOR. Can't say much about Tera, since there's no beta yet
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#8 Dec 22 2010 at 7:04 PM Rating: Decent
Scholar
36 posts
Looking at games like Anarchy Online, those are still alive and have a strong playerbase of die hard fans. If Rift can build a good community I see this game being played a long time. I know for a fact alot of people are gonna go play a new MMO as soon it comes out, but I also believe alot of people are going to be playing Rift, if Rift can hold a steady number of around 500K subs, I feel that's pretty good (more is allways better ofcourse).
#9 Dec 22 2010 at 8:18 PM Rating: Good
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1,159 posts
The survivor of time? Eve.

It may not be the most popular MMO out there or even in the top 5 but it has a solid base of people that will play it for a long time. The graphics age very well considering it's space based and easily upgradeable should they become outdated. The skill cap is exceptionally high, almost as high as life itself - in fact, many economic professionals play the game. Most of the content is player driven so there's really no limit to the content.

Eve will outlast them all, or at least until Iceland gets enveloped in lava.
#10 Dec 22 2010 at 8:20 PM Rating: Decent
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200 posts
Yogtheterrible wrote:

Eve will outlast them all, or at least until Iceland gets enveloped in lava.


Or water, whichever comes first. :)
#11 Dec 22 2010 at 11:07 PM Rating: Decent
7 posts
There may be thousands of people who want WoW to die, but there are millions who just bought Cata.. WoW isn't going anywhere for a while.

Rift has the potential to be a great game. Will is be as successful as WoW? I doubt it, but time will tell. They have done a good job marketing it and creating a buzz around the VIP beta keys to get people looking at the game and dying to play it which will hopefully carry over to launch.

Is Rift the WoW killer? Is the Android OS the iPhone killer? NO. It may take a slice of the pie, but it won't get close to killing it. The only thing that will kill WoW is time. Games have slowly gotten more advanced and will continue to do so. WoW will slowly fade out over the years, but nothing in particular will "kill" it except for time itself.

"What MMO do you think will be the survivor of time, and what about the MMO (specifically) makes you think this?"

EQ is the survivor of time.. They will ALL eventually die, but EQ has held on like a champ.
#12 Dec 23 2010 at 1:39 AM Rating: Decent
30 posts
You know, I don't forsee WoW lasting much longer. The last expansion is a pretty big bust despite the rave reviews and obnoxious sales strategies. I say bust, not because of actual sales, but because the game just doesn't hold water any more. Its the same old stale WoW. The main reason still play it is for the friendship and camaraderie, but then again that could be said of most, if not all MMOs.

Its hard to say what MMO will "stand the test of time." All MMOs will come to an end when the population dies enough. Star Wars looks like its aiming for the casual gamers, primarily focusing on single player. GW2 has some very strong suits to it. Rift looks great and is fun to play even solo.

I honestly cant answer what game will be around the longest. EQ is still goin. Its like a nuclear fallout cockroach lol.
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